Jane Campion The Power of the Dog | Paul Thomas Anderson Licorice Pizza | Ryuske Hamaguchi Drive My Car | Denis Villeneuve Dune | Steven Spielberg West Side Story |
1 nomination (for directing) | 2 nominations (for directing) | No nominations | 1 nomination | 7 nominations, 2 wins (for directing) |
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Has cleaned up in the precursors. Competing for the win | The film’s reception has started to solidify and PTA should find himself in the lineup | Drive My Car is such a critical and precursor smash, Hamaguchi could be firmly in the running | Dune had to be big for him to have a shot and it was big. Maybe on a bit shakier ground than some would like to admit | WSS has been missing in some weird places. I still think he makes the lineup, but just barely |
ALTERNATIVES | ||||
Kenneth Branagh Belfast | Joel Coen The Tragedy of Macbeth | Pedro Almodovar Parallel Mothers | Reinaldo Marcus Green King Richard | Guillermo del Toro Nightmare Alley |
1 nomination (for directing) | 3 nominations (for directing), 1 win | 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations | 1 nomination (for directing), 1 win |
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I don’t know what happened, but the Belfast love evaporated very quickly and without warning | Macbeth is peaking at the right time, but he hasn’t had much precursor love | The Oscars have shown willingness to nominate Pedro before, even when his film doesn’t show up in Best Picture. He has probably been 6th place more than once | King Richard is seen as more of a star vehicle than a director’s movie, but if the film hits in every other category, there’s no reason to think Green can’t go along as well | Following his Best Director win in 2017, everything he makes will be on the Academy’s radar. You never know how members will love a film |
MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
Rebecca Hall Passing | Sian Heder CODA | Asghar Farhadi A Hero | Wes Anderson The French Dispatch | Paolo Sorrentino The Hand of God |
No nominations | No nominations | No nominations (for directing) | 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations |
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The Oscars love actors-turned-directors, but the film’s accolades have been more focused on performances | The CODA love has to translate to the director, right? | A Hero might be breaking at the right time for him to make an impact. Probably more realistic in Screenplay | Despite a fairly early release, Anderson is getting some late buzz from precursors and top ten lists. Maybe it could surprise | The film’s release has not exactly been universally beloved, but you never know |