ALL PREDICTIONS | BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS | BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| Lilly Gladstone Killers of the Flower Moon | Danielle Brooks The Color Purple | Julliane Moore May December | Audra McDonald Rustin | Da’Vine Joy Randolph The Holdovers |
| No nominations | No nominations | 5 nominations 1 win | No nominations | No nominations |
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| Should be a prime part for a performer overdue for a breakthrough | Got an Oscar nomination for Oprah for the first film, and we know Brooks will be great after the theater run | Hasn’t been nominated since her win, but a reunion with Haynes is worth noting | A Tony favorite, she has yet to have an opportunity to show the Academy what she can do | A prime part for someone who has been delivering nothing but quality after her breakthrough in 2020 |
| ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Taraji P. Henson The Color Purple | Carey Mulligan Saltburn | Jodie Foster Nyad | Rachel McAdams Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. | Claire Foy Strangers |
| 1 nomination | 2 nominations | 4 nominations 2 wins | 1 nomination | No nominations |
 |  |  |  |  |
| Only has the one nomination despite some close calls. The original role was nominated, so she could easily be in there | Almost won the last time she was directed by Fennell. Just depends on how big the part is compared to Pike | Probably way closer to a nomination in 2020 than we realize. Hasn’t been nominated in almost 30 years | Exceptional in the role, but it’s a long road to nomination day | Has come achingly close a few times, and teaming up with Haigh could finally push her over the top |
| MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Lily James The Iron Claw | Jodie Comer The Bikeriders | Penelope Cruz Ferrari | Vanessa Kirby Napoleon | Emily Blunt Oppenheimer |
| No nominations | No nominations | 4 nominations 1 win | 1 nomination | No nominations |
 |  |  |  |  |
| Lauded for her work in Pam and Tommy, this film could finally land the film acclaim she has yet to get | Tried her best to make The Last Duel happen, but it certainly wasn’t for lack of trying. Very little known about the film | Almost got her second Oscar in 2021, but it’s the wife of the main character in a biopic, so who knows | You never know with these biopics. Could be nothing, could be fairly substantial (or a lead) | It has to happen for her eventually…right? |
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