ALL PREDICTIONS | BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS | BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| Jesse Plemmons Killers of the Flower Moon | Willem Dafoe Poor Things | Glynn Turman Rustin | Jeremy Allen White The Iron Claw | Harris Dickinson Blitz |
| 1 nomination | 4 nominations | No nominations | No nominations | No nominations |
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| After a surprise Oscar nomination in 2021, he looks to return in a big way with Scorsese | Probably close to winning a few times. When the right thing hits, it will hit big | A beloved character actor who got closer than most think in 2020. If Rustin hits big, he could easily get swept up | Already beloved by the TV community, the right film role is just waiting for him to break through | Leftover love for Triangle of Sadness helps, but his bonafides need to be on full display |
| ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Ryan Gosling Barbie | Samuel L. Jackson The Piano Lesson | Colman Domingo The Color Purple | Matt Bomer Maestro | Charles Melton May December |
| 2 nominations | 1 nomination | No nominations | No nominations | No nominations |
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| Barbie is the big question on whether or not it will be a populist hit, a critical one, or both. Gosling could easily be a nominee | Never really close since Pulp Fiction. Any sort of good notices could easily see him in the Oscar five | Already a contender for Rustin, he could conceivably be a double nominee | His film career just hasn’t materialized, but Cooper’s passion project could get him back on track | The least famous of the three main actors usually relegates you to Supporting. Would have to have monumental critical raves |
| MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Robert Downey Jr. Oppenheimer | Jacob Elordi Saltburn | Robert De Niro Killers of the Flower Moon | Tom Hanks Asteroid City | Jonathan Pryce One Life |
| 2 nominations | No nominations | 8 nominations 2 wins | 6 nominations 2 wins | 1 nomination |
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| Free of Marvel, maybe Downey will finally be able to showcase his immense talent in a fresh way | His co-stars already have Oscar nominations, so he’s working from behind already. Is it a lead role? | Couldn’t get nominated for The Irishman despite the good reviews. Could get lost in the shuffle of other actors | Wes Anderson films have yet to get an acting nomination, but if someone could do it, it could be Hanks | Working opposite Hopkins again, though this time in the Supporting role. Well loved by his peers |
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