ALL PREDICTIONS | BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS | BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| Christopher Nolan Oppenheimer | Martin Scorsese Killers of the Flower Moon | Emerald Fennel Saltburn | Celine Song Past Lives | Blitz Bazawule The Color Purple |
| 1 nomination (for directing) | 9 nominations 1 win (for directing) | 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations | No nominations |
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| Even if the film is not universally loved, Nolan feels like the natural recipient of the acclaim for it | No one loves Scoresese more than the Oscars. Would have to be a huge bomb | Got a nod for her first film, maybe she can go 2-2 | One early released film always lasts until the end. Song is the best bet | If The Color Purple is the awards behemoth it could be, Bazawule could easily make the lineup |
| ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Steve McQueen Blitz | Sean Durkin The Iron Claw | Bradley Cooper Maestro | Greta Gerwig Barbie | George C. Wolfe Rustin |
| 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations | No nominations (for directing) | 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations |
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| Only has the one directing nomination, but the right type of film can change the Academy’s tastes towards him quickly | Wanted to predict him, but the Oscars have yet to pay any sort of attention to his career. This could be the one | The Academy didn’t nominate him when he had a behemoth in 2018. It would have to be something really special | I much more dubious on the film’s chances than most, but if the film hits with the Oscars, Gerwig should be taken along | Didn’t sniff the director lineup with Ma Rainey in 2020, but if Rustin is a success, that can quickly change |
| MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Denis Villeneuve Dune: Part 2 | Todd Haynes May December | Alexander Payne The Holdovers | Sofia Coppola Priscilla | Hayao Miyazaki How Do You Live? |
| 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) | 3 nominations (for directing) | 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) |
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| Got snubbed for Part 1. I don’t know what would change Part 2 | Has been awarded for his writing more than his directing, but he’s been more than worthy, the Oscars just need to care | Surprisingly beloved by the director’s branch, but needs the film to be at least a modest hit with audiences and a big one with critics | The Oscars have no responded to her outside of Lost in Translation. Maybe she’s overdue? | A director has never been nominated for an animated film. If it were to ever happen, he would be the one to do it |
IceCream4Freaks 