ALL PREDICTIONS | BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS | BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| Saorise Ronan Blitz | Fantasia Barrino The Color Purple | Greta Lee Past Lives | Kate Winslet Lee | Natalie Portman May December |
| 4 nominations | No nominations | No nominations | 7 nominations 1 win | 3 nominations 1 win |
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| Despite being as young as she is, she is seen as being overdue for a win. Could be the right time | Following her successful Broadway run, she looks to repeat her success in the film version | Poised for a big breakthrough following a huge reception out of Sundance | Had 7 nominations in 14 years, but hasn’t had any since 2008. Could be seen as a bit overdue | Always interesting. Haynes is extremely hit-or-miss with the Academy, though better with the acting branch |
| ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Carey Mulligan Maestro | Annette Bening Nyad | Margot Robbie Barbie | Emma Stone Poor Things | Regina King Shirley |
| 2 nominations | 4 nominations | 2 nominations | 3 nominations 1 win | 1 nomination 1 win |
 |  |  |  |  |
| I’m cooler on the film’s chances than most. If anyone were to miss, it would be the long-suffering wife | Overdue for a long time, this true story could get her back in the coversation | Barbie is going to have to be a next-level hit for this to happen, but she is at the forefront, so it’s not impossible | How weird is the Oscars willing to go? Lanthimos is certainly weird enough, but I’m skeptical | The Oscars love a biopic and King might find herself back in the race |
| MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Cailee Spaeny Priscilla | Zendaya Challengers | Rosamund Pike Saltburn | Tilda Swinton The Killer | Julia Roberts Leave the World Behind |
| No nominations | No nominations | 1 nomination | 1 nomination 1 win | 4 nominations 1 win |
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| Hot off the momentum of Elvis, the Sophia Coppola-directed film could find this newcomer in the mix | Outside of Call Me By Your Name, the Oscars have not cared about Guadagnino’s films. Zendaya’s star power could change that | Is this a guy-heavy film, or does Pike get something interesting to do like Mulligan did in 2020 | Don’t know if she has a lead role or something small, but you know she’ll be delivering | Her partnership with Esmail has reinvigorated her, but it has yet to translate to film |
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