ALL PREDICTIONS | BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS | BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Colman Domingo Rustin | Cillian Murphy Oppenheimer | Barry Keoughan Saltburn | Bradley Cooper Maestro | Paul Giamatti The Holdovers |
No nominations | No nominations | 1 nomination | 4 nominations (in this category) | 1 nomination |
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Great reputation + great actor + biopic = looking pretty good | Nolan has only had one actor nominated before. Murphy has also had zero luck with the Academy in the past | Probably second place in 2022, a strong showing could find him in the mix again | This will either be a runaway success or a massive failure with no in-between | Hasn’t been nominated in over 15 years. Reuniting with Payne could get him back in Oscar’s good graces |
ALTERNATIVES | ||||
Leonardo DiCaprio Killers of the Flower Moon | Zac Efron The Iron Claw | Andre Holland The Actor | Michael Fassbender The Killer | Adam Sandler Spaceman |
6 nominations 1 win | No nominations | No nominations | 2 nominations | No nominations |
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It’s easy enough to predict Leo, but his record has been more spotty lately. I’m not optimistic | Really wanted to predict him, but his serious acting career hasn’t happened in any way so far. This could be a big jump | Always great, but perpetually under the radar, Holland could finally make his way on to the big stage | The last FIVE Fincher films have earned Lead Actor/Actress nominations. Very little is known so far | The Oscars have had a few chances, but Sandler hasn’t gotten there yet. It would really have to be something special |
MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
David Strathairn A Little Prayer | Anthony Hopkins One Life | Adam Driver Ferrari | Andrew Scott Strangers | Joaquin Phoenix Napolean |
1 nomination | 6 nominations 2 wins | 2 nominations | No nominations | 4 nominations 1 win |
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The former nominee could make his way back in if the film gets enough of a showcase | Holocaust-adjacent films haven’t been in the Oscars taste for a while, but you never know with Hopkins | Works a lot, but who knows what will hit and what will miss. Mann doesn’t exactly have the best Academy track record | Andrew Haigh got a nomination for Charlotte Rampling for 45 Years, maybe he can get Scott in the Academy’s view | This looks so baity, that its really going to have to do something special to get Phoenix there |