2022 Best Picture

The FabelmansBabylonThe Banshees of InisherinWomen TalkingEverything Everywhere All At Once
Spielberg is beloved and it’s a personal story. Seems like a safe betAfter the lackluster response from First Man, Chazelle looks to bounce backMcDonagh’s fans are very passionate. Now that he is back in his native country, the Academy could be very receptiveSarah Polley got some traction early in her career, but hasn’t had anything since. Lots of positive buzz nowCame in and stole all the “early season buzz” from The Batman. People who love it REALLY love it
Top Gun: MaverickDecision to LeaveEmpire of LightThe WhaleAvatar: The Way of Water
Impossible to ignore at this point. This may be too low a placementThe International branch has managed to get a film into the BP lineup for three out of four years. Maybe this is another oneSam Mendes has recently returned to AMPAS’ good graces. You can never count him out. Feels like an older voter filmCould prove to be controversial, but Fraser and Aronofsky could still get it thereIt’s hard to ignore James Cameron in normal situations, but they really dug the original and they could love this too
ALTERNATIVES
Glass Onion: A Knives Out MysteryWhite NoiseTARTriangle of SadnessTill
The original probably just missed the BP lineup. This one could be just as closeAfter Marriage Story, Baumbach is a real player – especially with Gerwig and Driver on boardThe Academy rarely goes for this type of film, but its champions are loud and passionateCould face “internal” competition from Decision, but Ostlund has his fanaticsThe trailer looked formulaic, but this could be a big commercial hit
MORE ALTERNATIVES
She SaidArmageddon TimeElvisBones and AllBardo
Timely story and a solid cast might be all it needsJames Grey has been dying for a breakout and this story seems like the one to make it happenThe Academy can’t make up their minds when it comes to Luhrmann, but all the ingredients are thereA tough sell to members, but the people who love it REALLY love itInarritu films have to be taken seriously, no matter the lukewarm reaction