James Grey Armageddon Time | Martin Scorsese Killers of the Flower Moon | Darren Aronofsky The Whale | Steven Spielberg The Fabelmans | Kelly Reichardt Showing Up |
No nominations | 9 nominations, 1 win (for directing) | 1 nomination | 8 nominations, 2 wins (for directing) | No nominatons |
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It’s been just a matter of time with Grey. Following Ad Astra, this personal film could finally prove to be his breakthrough | If he is making a film, he has to be in the conversation | It seems odd he’s only been nominated once, but he had to get away for a bit after mother! | He’s one of the favorites of the directors’ branch. If the film gets good reviews, it would be hard to doubt him | She has been ramping up commercially, and if she can get a little bit of precursor support, she could really make an impact |
ALTERNATIVES | ||||
Damien Chazelle Babylon | Taika Waititi Next Goal Wins | Florian Zeller The Son | George C. Wolfe Rustin | Sam Mendes Empire of Light |
1 nomination, 1 win (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) | No nominations | 2 nominations, 1 win (for directing) |
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Even though he has won before, I’m slightly dubious about his chances. That being said, Babylon might be hard to ignore | The market has cooled on Waititi, but a crowd-pleaser could win back a lot of hearts | The Oscars have shown willingness to nominate Pedro before, even when his film doesn’t show up in Best Picture. He has probably been 6th place more than once | It’s an unfortunate trend of Black-led films getting acclaim but their directors missing the lineup. I unfortunately expect it to continue again | The Oscars either LOVE Mendes’ films or completely ignore them. Domestic drama has worked for him in the past |
MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
Noah Baumbach White Noise | Cooper Raiff Cha Cha Real Smooth | Olivia Wilde Don’t Worry Darling | Wes Anderson Asteroid City | Sarah Polley Women Talking |
No nominations (for directing) | No nominations | No nominations | 1 nomination (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) |
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Missed a Best Director nom by the skin of his teeth. Will they ever see him as more than just a writer? | They either love or hate young directors, and I’m leaning towards hate | She had a dynamite debut, but this looks to be wildly different. Could be a surprise hit | The Oscars either fall over themselves for him (Grand Budapest) or they completely ignore him (The French Dispatch) | Got a screenplay nomination all those years ago, but has been completely ignored since despite quality work |