| Steven Spielberg The Fabelmans | Daniels Everything Everywhere All At Once | Martin McDonagh The Banshees of Inisherin | Todd Field TAR | James Cameron Avatar: The Way of Water |
| 8 nominations, 2 wins (for directing) | No nominations | No nominations (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) | 2 nominations 1 win (for directing) |
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| The lock of locks at this point | The reaction to EEAAO centers mostly around the actors, but they should be comfortably onboard | Can’t seem to get the Academy to take his directing seriously (though they love his writing) | I wrongly never took him seriously as a candidate. Seems pretty secure at this point | Probably on the shakiest ground (somehow) |
| ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Edward Berger All Quiet on the Western Front | Sarah Polley Women Talking | Damien Chazelle Babylon | Charlotte Wells Aftersun | Park Chan-Wook Decision to Leave |
| No nominations | No nominations (for directing) | 1 nomination, 1 win (for directing) | No nominations | No nominations |
 |  |  |  |  |
| Won’t surprise me if he make the five | How did we get to this point? | The film’s failures are mostly associated with his choices. Not a great sign | Probably needed more public reaction to make the five | This Korean master has never been close to Oscar before. It could be exactly what the Academy is looking for |
| MORE ALTERNATIVES | ||||
| Ruben Ostlund Triangle of Sadness | Darren Aronofsky The Whale | Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu Bardo | Baz Luhrmann Elvis | Gina Prince-Bythewood The Woman King |
| No nominations | 1 nomination | 3 nominations, 2 wins (for directing) | No nominations (for directing) | No nominations |
 |  |  |  |  |
| Early buzz peaked too early. Could still surprise | It seems odd he’s only been nominated once, but he had to get away for a bit after mother! | You have to take him seriously anytime he releases a film, but the mixed response and the Netflix factor all come into play | The Oscars have snubbed him in the past. Plus, the reaction to his film is…mixed | The reception to her film has been great, and she has been a surprising recipient of that praise |
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IceCream4Freaks 