2022 Best Actress

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Margot Robbie Babylon	Michelle Williams Showing Up	Emma Thompson Good Luck to You, Leo Grande	Florence Pugh Don’t Worry Darling	Naomi Ackie I Wanna Dance With Somebody
2 nominations	3 nominations	4 nominations, 1 win (for acting)	1 nomination	No nominations

The Oscars have a tough time resisting her, plus she’s playing a real-life moviestar	If Reichardt’s film can break into Oscars good graces, there is no reason to think Williams won’t be pulled along with it	Expect to see a lot of pieces lauding Thompson’s brave portrayal. Critically adored out of Sundance	Critically lauded, but she hasn’t headlined a hit yet. With Olivia Wilde behind the camera, this could be the one	The Oscars did go for Respect last year, but newcomers doing biopics are their catnip

		ALTERNATIVES
Anne Hathaway Armageddon Time	Michelle Yeoh Everything Everywhere All At Once	Carey Mulligan She Said	Olivia Colman Empire of Light	Cate Blanchett TÁR
2 nominations, 1 win	No nominations	2 nominations	3 nominations, 1 win	7 nominations, 2 wins

She might have fallen out of favor after her win, but it’s been a decade, maybe it’s time for a critical comeback. She’s never bad	She’s never bad and she’s getting rave reviews. Maybe one of the few early contenders that could hang on	Probably closer to winning in 2020 than most realize. She plays the game and is always great	The Oscars will get sick of her eventually, right?	Todd Field is 2-2 in getting Best Actress nominations. Blanchett probably didn’t miss in 2021 by much

		MORE ALTERNATIVES
Emma Stone Poor Things	Tilda Swinton 3000 Years of Longing	Taylor Russell Bones & All	Zoe Kazan She Said	Jennifer Lawrence Red, White and Water
3 nominations, 1 win	1 nomination, 1 win	No nominations	No nominations	4 nominations, 1 win

Lanthimos made it work for her before, but how weird can it get before the Academy ignores it?	More bullish on her than I am on Elba, mostly because she has already won before. Still could be a package deal	Great reviews from Waves could lead to her breakthrough as long as the film is to the Oscars’ taste	If the film really hits, they will probably relegate Kazan to Supporting, but it sounds like a co-lead	Never got any footing with Don’t Look Up, but this seems more what the Academy is looking for

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