We are only three days away from the 93rd Academy Awards, so it is past time for me to deliver my 100% guaranteed successful Oscar winners. We will start and the top and go from there.

BEST PICTURE

You can not like it, you can try to fight it, but there is no way Nomadland doesn’t end up as the Best Picture winner. It has not lost an award all season and there is no reason to think it will stop now.

Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Dark Horse: Minari

BEST DIRECTOR

The least-competitive category all night. Go ahead and engrave Zhao’s name now.

Will Win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Could Win: none
Dark Horse: none

BEST ACTOR

Thanks to BAFTA and the performance of Hopkins, this race is a lot tighter than people have been expecting. If Hopkins won the BAFTA and wasn’t British, I would take it more seriously. As it stands, I still think Boseman will end up with the posthumous Oscar.

Will Win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could Win: Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Dark Horse: none

BEST ACTRESS

The only race that feels completely up in the air. My heart wants Mulligan, but my head says Davis. I won’t be disappointed either way. Even victory for McDormand or Andra Day wouldn’t shock me. Whoever wins will probably give a great speech.

Will Win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could Win: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Dark Horse: Frances McDormand, Nomadland

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

After Best Director, this is the most sewn up category in the bunch. Kaluuya has never faced a serious challenge from anyone all year and I don’t expect it now.

Will Win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Could Win: None
Dark Horse: None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

At one point, this race featured four women that could walk away with the gold, but Youn has firmed up her hold on the award with the SAG and BAFTA. Bakalova and Youn have dominated awards season and the voters finally giving Close her Oscar here would feel silly. This is Youn’s.

Will Win: Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
Could Win: Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Dark Horse: Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win: Promising Young Woman
Could Win: Minari
Dark Horse: The Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Dark Horse: The Father

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: Mank
Dark Horse: News of the World

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Will Win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could Win: Mank
Dark Horse: Emma.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Will Win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could Win: Mank
Dark Horse: The Father

BEST FILM EDITING

Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: Sound of Metal
Dark Horse: The Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will Win: Tenet
Could Win: Love and Monsters
Dark Horse: The Midnight Sky

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Will Win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could Win: Pinocchio
Dark Horse: Mank

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM

Will Win: Another Round
Could Win: Quo Vadis, Aida?
Dark Horse: Collective

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Will Win: Soul
Could Win: News of the World
Dark Horse: News of the World

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Will Win: “Lo Si (Seen)” from The Life Ahead
Could Win: “Husavik” from Eurovision
Dark Horse: “Speak Now” from One Night in Miami

BEST SOUND

Will Win: Sound of Metal
Could Win: Soul
Dark Horse: Mank

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Will Win: Soul
Could Win: Wolfwalkers
Dark Horse: Onward

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Will Win: If Anything Happens I Love You
Could Win: Opera
Dark Horse: Burrow

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Will Win: My Octopus Teacher
Could Win: Time
Dark Horse: The Mole Agent

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Will Win: Do Not Split
Could Win: Colette
Dark Horse: Hunger Ward

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Will Win: Two Distant Strangers
Could Win: Feeling Through
Dark Horse: The Present